Public Telemetry Verified·Oct 2026·Speculative AE Account Plan
Enterprise account dossier

Cognition AI (Devin) & the Claude Expansion Blueprint

How I would run this account as Anthropic's enterprise AE. Devin already runs on Claude — Cognition said so when it rebuilt Devin for Sonnet 4.5. So the play is not migration; it is consumption depth and defence: deeper prompt caching, a procurement route through the AWS relationship Cognition just signed, and a credible answer to the in-house SWE-1.5 / SWE-2 models that compete for the same tokens.

Thesis: at Devin's scale, the cache-read line is the margin. Every point of cacheable-prefix share is worth more than any list-price discount, and it is the one lever Cognition's own models cannot copy without rebuilding Claude.
01 · Token economics

Current vs. optimised Claude spend — and what it does to gross margin per ACU

Model: current Sonnet tier at $2 / $10 per MTok with 5% cache reads, verified from Anthropic's pricing page. Three presets, two headline sliders, everything else under Advanced. The URL updates as you move sliders, so any scenario is shareable.

2M
One loop = one model turn inside a Devin session. Log scale, 100K → 10M.
60K tok
Repo map, file slices, tool definitions, history. Cognition caps Devin at 200K to avoid "context anxiety".
Advanced assumptions
90%
40
1.5K
2K
10%
15
Cache TTL

Batch (50% off) is only applied to the batch-eligible share — evals, re-indexing, nightly review — because batch jobs are asynchronous. Interactive agent loops stay on the standard tier. Thinking tokens are billed as output.

Monthly savings
—
Spend reduction
—
Gross-margin recovery
—
Optimised cost per 1K loops
—
Implied ACU revenue
—
loops ÷ loops-per-ACU × $2.25 per ACU (Devin 2.0 launch price; edit in Advanced)

Where the dollars go uncached input · cache writes · cache reads · output · thinking

Current
—
Optimised
—
Uncached inputCache writesCache readsOutputThinking
Breakeven vs. current
—
Cache pays back on turn
2 of each session

What moves the number one-at-a-time sensitivity around the optimised scenario

Green = cheaper than the optimised baseline, coral = more expensive. If cache-hit share is on top, the conversation is about prompt architecture, not list price.

Build vs. buy — the real competitor is internal

Cognition trained SWE-grep and SWE-1.5 on GB200s and serves them on Cerebras at 950 tok/s. Anthropic's defence is not "Claude is smarter"; it is a per-loop cost that a hybrid stack can match while keeping Claude on the long-horizon reasoning.

Claude only optimised Sonnet

—
  • per loop at the optimised scenario above
  • single vendor, one prompt stack, 4 cache breakpoints

Hybrid Haiku 5.5 retrieval + Sonnet

—
  • Haiku-class sub-agent ($0.10 / $0.50) does the SWE-grep job; main context shrinks 40%
  • saves —/mo vs. Claude-only

In-house SWE-1.5 / SWE-2 on Cerebras

—
  • placeholder — no public serving-cost figure exists; the gap to discover is —/mo
  • Cognition itself positions these as complementary, not replacements

Volumes are scenario anchors, not Cognition disclosures. Revenue per loop derives from the public $2.25/ACU launch price and an editable loops-per-ACU assumption. The in-house serving cost is a stated placeholder. The point of the model is the shape of the economics and the questions it generates — see MEDDPICC.

02 · Technical wedges

Three hypotheses I would bring to the first technical call

Written as hypotheses to validate with Cognition's team, not as a lecture. Each ends with what I would want to check.

One deliberate pass beats N sampled ones

Agent harnesses historically bought reliability with self-consistency: sample a plan 3–5 times, vote, re-read the repo each time. Extended thinking moves that deliberation inside a single turn, with a budget the harness controls. The context is read once; the thinking tokens are billed as output.

HypothesisDevin's planning stage can replace multi-sample voting with a tuned thinking budget per task class, cutting context re-reads while keeping the +18% planning lift Cognition measured on Sonnet 4.5.

Napkin math at 60K context: 3 samples re-read 180K input tokens; one pass with an 8K thinking budget reads 60K and writes 8K. At $2 / $10 that is roughly $0.36 vs $0.20 per planning step before caching — and with 90% cache reads the single-pass figure drops further because the one read is mostly cached.

  • Which task classes still use multi-sample planning, and what is their share of loops?
  • Is the thinking budget fixed or adaptive — and does it correlate with Junior Developer Eval difficulty?
  • Does the 200K cap stay necessary once thinking replaces re-reads?

Sources: Cognition on Sonnet 4.5 (+18% planning, +12% JDE) · thinking tokens billed as output

SWE-bench Verified leaderboard excerpt
Model (SWE-bench Verified)ResolvedDate

Leaderboard excerpt from swebench.com, fetched 2026-10-13. Cognition stopped reporting SWE-bench in 2024 and runs its own Junior Developer Evals — so this table frames the market, not Devin.

Devin's prompt stack maps onto four cache breakpoints

Caching rewards stable prefixes. A coding agent's prompt is unusually prefix-stable: system instructions and tool schemas never change inside a session; the repo map and DeepWiki-style summaries change rarely; only the latest turn is new. Anthropic allows up to 4 explicit breakpoints with a 20-block lookback, 512-token minimum on the current models, and a TTL that refreshes on every read.

HypothesisDevin's codebase index (Devin Wiki / repo map) and tool definitions can sit behind breakpoints 1–2 and reach a 90%+ hit rate on multi-turn sessions; the 1-hour TTL pays for itself on any session with gaps longer than five minutes between turns (human review, CI waits).
  • Where does session state currently live — in the prompt (cacheable) or re-fetched per turn (not)?
  • Typical gap between turns while Devin waits on CI or a human: under or over five minutes?
  • Does parallel-Devin fan-out share a prefix, so one write serves many readers?

Sources: prompt caching docs · Devin 2.0: Devin Wiki, Devin Search, parallel Devins

System prompt + tool schemasnever changes in a session · ~6K tok Repo map · Devin Wiki summaries · AST indexchanges on checkout / re-index · ~30K tok Task brief + plan + accumulated historyappend-only inside a session · ~20K tok Latest tool result + new instructionfresh every turn · ~4K tok · never cached ▸ BP1 · write once / session ▸ BP2 · re-write on re-index ▸ BP3 · moves each turn (BP4 spare) Read price on the cached 56K: 5% of input · write 1.25× (5-min) or 2× (1-h) · TTL refreshes on every hit

Buy Claude where Cognition already sells Devin

Cognition's production environment is AWS (its own security docs say so), it signed a multi-year Strategic Collaboration Agreement with AWS in September 2026, and Devin is sold on AWS Marketplace. Bedrock has price parity with Anthropic direct — Sonnet 5.5 at $2 / $10, cache reads at $0.10 after the October 7 cut — so routing a Claude commit through the AWS relationship costs nothing on list price and can remove a vendor security cycle.

HypothesisA Marketplace private offer for Claude (Bedrock or Claude Platform on AWS, billed in CCUs) would count toward Cognition's AWS commitment and reuse the SOC 2 / ZDR paperwork already on file — collapsing procurement from a new-vendor review to an addendum. Whether an EDP exists, and whether this drawdown applies, is exactly what discovery must confirm.
  • Direct Anthropic API, Bedrock, or both today — and which one carries the volume?
  • Is there an AWS commitment the SCA sits under, and does Marketplace spend count toward it?
  • Batch on Bedrock is N/A for the 5.5-generation models: does any batch-eligible workload need to stay direct?

Sources: AWS–Cognition SCA (2026-09-15) · Devin security docs · Bedrock pricing

1
Existing AWS relationshipProduction on AWS · multi-year SCA · single-tenant VPC per enterprise customer
2
Marketplace private offerClaude via Bedrock or Claude Platform on AWS · negotiated discount applied before CCU conversion
3
Security already on fileSOC 2 Type II since Sep 2024 · ZDR with model providers · audit-log APIs
4
Commit drawdown (to confirm)Marketplace spend counts toward an AWS commitment if one exists — the discovery question, not an assumption
5
Hybrid routing stays possibleDirect API for batch-eligible workloads; Bedrock for the interactive loop inside the customer's region
03 · Front-half MEDDPICC

What I know, what I think, and what only discovery can answer

Highlighted cards are the front-half pillars an AE must own before a first meeting: Metrics, Economic Buyer, Decision Criteria, Identify Pain, Champion. Every claim links to its source.

Validated — primary public sourceHypothesised — inferred from signalsUnknown — discovery only
04 · How this dossier was built

The method is the product. Cognition is the worked example.

This page took one working session with an AI-native research pipeline. The same pipeline produces a dossier like this for any account on a target list — swap one content file, re-verify, ship.

Ground truth first

Live-fetch vendor pricing pages, the account's blog, careers board, security docs and press. Every number carries a URL and a fetch date.

Network evidence

Public DNS over HTTPS plus ARIN RDAP to confirm the production cloud and SaaS stack — no scanning, no login, nothing non-public.

Evidence ledger → badges

Each claim is graded Validated / Hypothesised / Unknown. The MEDDPICC badges are generated from the ledger, not from opinion.

Economics with unit tests

The calculator is a pure-function module with golden tests, including the hand-computed scenario and overflow checks at 10M loops × 150K tokens.

Sources